Brazil  Portugal  English
O lixo espacial está previsto para reentrar as UTC +/- 8 hours

Previsão de Reentrada


Atualizado Terça-feira, 24 Mai 2022 15:15 UTC

O mapa acima mostra a possível localização da reentrada do lixo espacial (), previsto por modelagem de evolução orbital até que o satélite ou fragmento atinja a altura nominal de ruptura.

De acordo com a previsão, a reentrada do objeto ocorrerá as UTC, acima das coordenadas mostradas no mapa.

Satellite Launch Norad Incl.
degrees
Apogee
Km
Perigee
Km
Period
min
Options
CZ-4B R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-04-30
202149964U97º14912987Reentered!
Lat=48.4   Lon=291.6
2022-050C
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-05-13
202252511U41º28416689Reentered!
Forecast
ELECTRON R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-05-18
202252428U97º19012788Reentered!
Lat=-18   Lon=345.4
YZ-1S R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-05-21
202252719U86º3339289Reentered!
Lat=-56   Lon=211.2
GASPACS
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-05-24
199851439U52º27226290Forecast
CZ-7 R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-05-26
202252512U41º21716788Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-05-27
202252317U53º23221889Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-05-30
202252316U53º24823189Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-05-30
202252314U53º26023989Forecast
2022-050B
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-05-30
202252510U41º29123890Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-1
202252315U53º26424390Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-5
202252387U53º27125690Forecast
RSP-01
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-8
199847925U52º29228590Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-9
202252386U53º27826190Forecast
PHOENIX
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-10
199845258U52º28627990Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-11
202252384U53º28526590Forecast
ISS DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-12
199844306U52º28127590Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-13
202252385U53º28526690Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-14
202252507U53º28927490Forecast
SPOC
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-15
199846921U52º31030491Forecast
DESCENT
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-15
199846927U52º29929490Forecast
GT-1
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-15
199851510U52º33832691Forecast
NEUTRON-1
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-17
199846923U52º30930491Forecast
STARLINK-1809
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-17
202046708U53º30329090Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-18
202252506U53º28927690Forecast
STARLINK-2306
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-18
202147988U53º30129590Forecast
DAILI
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-18
199851443U52º34433091Forecast
STARLINK-2023
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-19
202147605U53º30329791Forecast
STARLINK-1214
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-20
202045224U53º30129891Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-20
202252505U53º29727990Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-21
202252596U53º30128590Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-22
202252654U53º30028890Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-22
202252653U53º30129090Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-23
202252597U53º29828690Forecast
MAYA-2
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-23
199847929U52º32932291Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-23
202252504U53º29928190Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-23
202252595U53º30229190Forecast
GUARANISAT-1
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-24
199847931U52º32632191Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-25
202252652U53º30829090Forecast
TSURU
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-28
199847927U52º32431891Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-28
202252589U53º30629190Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-06-30
202252651U53º30929291Forecast
STARLINK-3303
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-07-1
202150162U53º34134091Forecast
ISS DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-07-7
199844303U52º31030591Forecast
STARLINK-2239
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-07-13
202148017U53º33632991Forecast
RED-EYE 1 (PINOT)
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-07-14
199844364U52º32031291Forecast
PROPCUBE 2 (FAUNA)
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-07-18
201743052U52º34833891Forecast
SIMPL
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-07-21
199842983U52º29929390Forecast
BREEZE-KM R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-07-23
201339454U88º30029790Forecast
STARLINK-3307
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-07-28
202150164U53º32430991Forecast
STARLINK-1514
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-07-28
202046046U53º34433591Forecast
STARLINK-3930
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-08-17
202252568U53º35134992Forecast
STARLINK-3954
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-08-17
202252558U53º35134992Forecast
STARLINK-3925
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-08-19
202252498U53º35134892Forecast
AEOLUS
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-08-20
201843600U97º31730491Forecast
STARLINK-1367
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-08-20
202045539U53º34433391Forecast
STARLINK-1874
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-08-23
202047159U53º29829590Forecast
STARLINK-2080
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-08-26
202147365U53º33932491Forecast
STARLINK-3793
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-08-27
202252380U53º35134992Forecast
ISS DEB (SEDA-AP)
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-09-1
199843870U52º33132591Forecast
STARLINK-3903
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-09-11
202252462U53º35134992Forecast
STARLINK-3850
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-09-14
202252342U53º35134992Forecast
STARLINK-3855
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-09-14
202252474U53º35134892Forecast
STARLINK-3806
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-09-17
202252378U53º35034992Forecast
STARLINK-3932
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-10-2
202252576U53º35134992Forecast
STARLINK-3924
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-10-9
202252570U53º35134992Forecast
STARLINK-3840
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-10-13
202252466U53º35134892Forecast
STARLINK-3537
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-10-14
202252088U53º33632991Forecast
STARLINK-1501
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-10-22
202045763U53º34032891Forecast
STARLINK-3902
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-11-18
202252487U53º35134892Forecast
STARLINK-3923
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-11-23
202252489U53º35134892Forecast
STARLINK-3531
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-12-1
202251723U53º34733691Forecast
STARLINK-3953
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-12-1
202252559U53º35134992Forecast
STARLINK-3851
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-12-6
202252344U53º35134992Forecast
STARLINK-3877
Reentry: (YMD) 2022-12-8
202252355U53º35134992Forecast




The Satellite Path


The path to be followed by satellite (dotted line) does not change due to the fact that the satellite is falling and can be used to assess the trajectory of the object before and after possible fall. In the graph, each point marks the range of 1 minute.

Solar Flux and Other Variables


As much as the institutes and space agencies strive to provide correct data of the point where the space debris will fall, several factors may interfere with the accuracy of the prediction. Among the most important, the solar flux is the most critical because it determines the conditions of the upper atmosphere, increasing or decreasing the drag on the object.

Besides the solar flux acting on the aerodynamic characteristics, another variable rather difficult to be computed is the resistance of materials used in the construction of the object and the shape of the structure. Combined, these factors may determine different altitudes for the moment of rupture, causing errors of more than 30 km in altitude reentry provided.

Other variables that affect the calculation of reentry, although less important, are the gravitational perturbations of the Sun and Moon and also those exercised by large mountain ranges, above or below sea level.

The modeling used by Satview to compute the time of reentry uses solar flux data obtained at the time of modeling, and prediction of the behavior of the sun for the next 5 days. With this, the margin of error of prediction is + / - 3 revolutions for satellites or debris in uncontrolled reentry.

Altitude of Reentry


Spacecraft reentering the atmosphere without control usually break between 72 and 84 km altitude due to temperature and aerodynamic forces acting on the structure.

The nominal breakup altitude is 78 km, but big satellites that have larger and denser structures survive longer and break down at lower altitudes. Usually, solar panels are destroyed before any component, at altitudes between 90 and 95 km.

Satview - All Rights Reserved 2008 - 2022
Privacy policy