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The space junk is forecast to reentry at UTC +/- 8 hours

Forecast for Reentry


Update Wed 8-Apr-2020 10:02 UTC

The map above shows the location of the possible reentry of the space junk () predicted by modeling of orbital evolution until the fragment or satellite reaches the altitude of nominal burst.

According to the forecast made by Satview.org, the object's reentry will occur in at UTC, above the coordinates shown on map.

Satellite Launch Norad Incl.
degrees
Apogee
Km
Perigee
Km
Period
min
Options
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-10
202044974U5317216988Reentered!
Forecast
DELTA 2 R/B(1)
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-11
198920362U3614614487Reentered!
Lat=-27.8   Lon=337.4
ELECTRON R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-16
201944372U4517416388Reentered!
Lat=35.2   Lon=22.6
CZ-2D R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-21
201641902U9814713687Reentered!
Lat=35.3   Lon=352.1
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-22
202045107U5322120989Reentered!
Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-25
202045106U5314113387Reentered!
Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-29
202045104U5317115988Reentered!
Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-31
202045105U5317416288Reentered!
Forecast
DIWATA-1
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-6
199841463U5212512587Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1291
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045393U5336736592Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1272
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045386U5336936492Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1292
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045394U5337036592Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1260
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045404U5337036592Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1207
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045380U5336936492Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1278
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045408U5337136692Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1307
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045397U5337136692Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1265
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045406U5336936492Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1303
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045396U5337036592Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1275
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045407U5337036592Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1263
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045405U5336936492Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1264
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045382U5336936492Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1268
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045385U5336936492Reentered!
Forecast
RADIX
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
199843550U5218517088Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1311
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045363U5337036592Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1289
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045391U5336836392Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1312
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045398U5336836492Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1319
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045379U5339138792Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1213
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045400U5336736292Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1305
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045377U5339238892Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1276
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045368U5339238892Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1255
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045399U5337136892Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1267
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045384U5336436292Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1300
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045374U5339238992Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1274
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045387U5336836592Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1309
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045414U5336836592Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1295
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045373U5339238992Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1280
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045388U5336836692Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1290
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045392U5336936692Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1301
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045361U5333933091Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1288
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045372U5339238992Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1283
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045389U5329328890Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1297
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045395U5336836592Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1273
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045367U5339339192Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1306
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045362U5337837692Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1293
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045411U5336836592Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1257
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045402U5336536392Reentered!
Forecast
STARLINK-1308
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-8
202045419U5338938492Forecast
STARLINK-1296
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-8
202045412U5337036692Forecast
STARLINK-1256
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-8
202045401U5336836592Forecast
CZ-4B R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-8
201944707U9816715088Forecast
STARLINK-1153
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045080U5344744293Forecast
STARLINK-1167
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045071U5347046494Forecast
STARLINK-1151
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045081U5344443893Forecast
STARLINK-1174
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045075U5344544093Forecast
STARLINK-1177
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045078U5346946494Forecast
STARLINK-1139
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045065U5344543993Forecast
STARLINK-1163
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045069U5347246694Forecast
STARLINK-1133
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045064U5344443993Forecast
STARLINK-1149
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045079U5348848294Forecast
STARLINK-1168
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045072U5344844393Forecast
STARLINK-1180
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045076U5344644193Forecast
STARLINK-1132
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045044U5346946394Forecast
STARLINK-1285
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045410U5337937692Forecast
STARLINK-1284
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045390U5337937792Forecast
STARLINK-1164
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045070U5344944494Forecast
STARLINK-1259
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045403U5337937692Forecast
STARLINK-1209
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045206U5337837592Forecast
STARLINK-1182
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045077U5344944494Forecast
STARLINK-1234
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045190U5337937792Forecast
STARLINK-1145
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045066U5345044694Forecast
STARLINK-1302
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045375U5340740193Forecast
STARLINK-1287
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045371U5340640193Forecast
STARLINK-1172
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-9
202045074U5344944694Forecast
STARLINK-1161
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-10
202045068U5345044794Forecast
STARLINK-1299
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-10
202045418U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1318
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-10
202045416U5338037792Forecast
STARLINK-1228
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-10
202045188U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1170
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-10
202045073U5348447994Forecast
STARLINK-1160
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-10
202045082U5345044794Forecast
STARLINK-1014
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-10
201944720U5354152995Forecast
STARLINK-1298
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-10
202045413U5338037892Forecast
STARLINK-1150
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-10
202045067U5346345994Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-15
202045421U5327319189Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-15
202045422U5326819089Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-16
202045420U5328119289Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-17
202045423U5327319189Forecast
SL-4 R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-24
201742800U9825521289Forecast
TECHEDSAT 8
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-25
199844032U5228627490Forecast
ASTERIA
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-28
199843020U5226826090Forecast
NSIGHT
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-30
199842726U5226825790Forecast
IRIDIUM 96 [-]
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-05-19
200227376U8637125191Forecast
DEBRISSAT-2
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-8
199843680U5231430891Forecast
1KUNS-PF
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-16
199843466U5231130691Forecast
STARLINK-67
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-20
201944278U5329828890Forecast
STARLINK-1045
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-4
201944750U5355154996Forecast
CZ-4C R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-4
201944210U9736525291Forecast
STARLINK-1043
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-5
201944748U5355154996Forecast
STARLINK-1063
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-6
201944768U5355154996Forecast
STARLINK-1036
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-8
201944741U5355154996Forecast
STARLINK-1020
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-12
201944725U5355154996Forecast
STARLINK-1056
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-15
201944761U5355154996Forecast
STARLINK-1175
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-18
202045097U5338537492Forecast
SL-12 R/B(AUX MOTOR)
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-30
201238105U473441135122Forecast
STARLINK-1286
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-1
202045417U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1040
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-1
201944745U5332131591Forecast
STARLINK-1193
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-3
202045100U5338637492Forecast
STARLINK-1317
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-7
202045365U5333532391Forecast
STARLINK-1136
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-9
202045089U5338137992Forecast
1998-067PK
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-20
199843598U5233733391Forecast
SL-4 R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-24
201944799U9831927090Forecast
SL-4 R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-25
201843658U6748121291Forecast
TANUSHA-3
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-28
199843597U5234033691Forecast
STARLINK-43
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-31
201944257U5347447394Forecast
STARLINK-1165
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-1
202045059U5355655496Forecast
STARLINK-1156
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-3
202045054U5355154896Forecast
STARLINK-26
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-9
201944240U5343643493Forecast
STARLINK-1179
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-11
202045085U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1120
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-11
202045045U5355655496Forecast
STARLINK-1155
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-13
202045053U5355655496Forecast
CZ-3B R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-15
201541195U237329140169Forecast
CZ-3B R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-15
201944494U2928644129496Forecast
STARLINK-1166
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-18
202045060U5355655496Forecast
ARIANE 44L+ R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-21
199221941U42448173112Forecast
CZ-3B R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-25
201339482U246449136158Forecast
1998-067PC
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-27
199843554U5234333691Forecast
SMOG-P
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-28
201944832U9737432992Forecast
STARLINK-1206
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-28
202045204U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1218
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-29
202045209U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1254
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-30
202045216U5338537492Forecast
STARLINK-1105
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-30
202045218U5338537492Forecast
STARLINK-1208
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-30
202045205U5338637492Forecast
STARLINK-1217
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-1
202045226U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1154
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-1
202045198U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1233
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-1
202045214U5338637492Forecast
ELECTRON R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-1
201944500U4545329192Forecast
STARLINK-1221
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-2
202045227U5338337692Forecast
STARLINK-1270
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-2
202045237U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1191
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-2
202045222U5338537492Forecast
STARLINK-1271
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-2
202045217U5338137892Forecast
STARLINK-1158
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-2
202045056U5355154996Forecast
STARLINK-1189
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-3
202045221U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1198
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-3
202045200U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1148
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-3
202045052U5355154996Forecast
STARLINK-1188
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-3
202045220U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1211
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-3
202045208U5338537592Forecast
STARLINK-1204
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-5
202045203U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1171
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-7
202045062U5355655496Forecast
STARLINK-1140
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-7
202045050U5355154996Forecast
STARLINK-1181
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-8
202045086U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1169
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-8
202045061U5355655496Forecast
STARLINK-1196
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-10
202045103U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1141
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-10
202045051U5355154996Forecast
STARLINK-1159
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-10
202045057U5355655496Forecast
STARLINK-1152
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-12
202045096U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1178
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-13
202045063U5355655496Forecast
STARLINK-1147
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-14
202045095U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1157
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-15
202045055U5355655496Forecast
STARLINK-1162
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-15
202045058U5355655496Forecast
STARLINK-1146
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-16
202045094U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1186
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-17
202045099U5338437692Forecast
STARLINK-1184
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-18
202045098U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1173
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-18
202045084U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1135
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-19
202045049U5355154996Forecast
STARLINK-1235
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-20
202045232U5338437592Forecast
STARLINK-1230
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-20
202045189U5355154996Forecast
STARLINK-1185
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-20
202045087U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1195
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-21
202045102U5338637492Forecast
STARLINK-1194
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-21
202045101U5338137992Forecast
STARLINK-1131
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-10-24
202045047U5355655496Forecast




The Satellite Path


The path to be followed by satellite (dotted line) does not change due to the fact that the satellite is falling and can be used to assess the trajectory of the object before and after possible fall. In the graph, each point marks the range of 1 minute.

Solar Flux and Other Variables


As much as the institutes and space agencies strive to provide correct data of the point where the space debris will fall, several factors may interfere with the accuracy of the prediction. Among the most important, the solar flux is the most critical because it determines the conditions of the upper atmosphere, increasing or decreasing the drag on the object.

Besides the solar flux acting on the aerodynamic characteristics, another variable rather difficult to be computed is the resistance of materials used in the construction of the object and the shape of the structure. Combined, these factors may determine different altitudes for the moment of rupture, causing errors of more than 30 km in altitude reentry provided.

Other variables that affect the calculation of reentry, although less important, are the gravitational perturbations of the Sun and Moon and also those exercised by large mountain ranges, above or below sea level.

The modeling used by Satview to compute the time of reentry uses solar flux data obtained at the time of modeling, and prediction of the behavior of the sun for the next 5 days. With this, the margin of error of prediction is + / - 3 revolutions for satellites or debris in uncontrolled reentry.

Altitude of Reentry


Spacecraft reentering the atmosphere without control usually break between 72 and 84 km altitude due to temperature and aerodynamic forces acting on the structure.

The nominal breakup altitude is 78 km, but big satellites that have larger and denser structures survive longer and break down at lower altitudes. Usually, solar panels are destroyed before any component, at altitudes between 90 and 95 km.

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