Brazil  Portugal  English
The space junk ELECTRON R/B is forecast to reentry Wednesday, 25 Mar 2020 at 23:29 UTC +/- 8 hours
ELECTRON R/B

Forecast for ELECTRON R/B Reentry


Update Tue 18-Feb-2020 18:11 UTC

The map above shows the location of the possible reentry of the space junk ELECTRON R/B (44372U) predicted by modeling of orbital evolution until the fragment or satellite reaches the altitude of nominal burst.

According to the forecast made by Satview.org, the object's reentry will occur in Wednesday, 25 Mar 2020 at 23:29 UTC, above the coordinates shown on map.

Satellite Launch Norad Incl.
degrees
Apogee
Km
Perigee
Km
Period
min
Options
CZ-3B R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-01-21
201741912U2725411288Reentered!
Lat=18.3   Lon=288.1
PSLV R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-01-23
200832477U4117616788Reentered!
Lat=2.5   Lon=259.2
STARLINK-33
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-19
201944247U5340940693Forecast
STARLINK-28
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-20
201944242U5340740593Forecast
STARLINK-1176
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-21
202045090U5330429591Forecast
STARLINK-1162
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-22
202045058U5338938792Forecast
STARLINK-62
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-22
201944274U5345345194Forecast
STARLINK-1120
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-22
202045045U5339239092Forecast
STARLINK-41
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-22
201944277U5343943193Forecast
STARLINK-1150
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-22
202045067U5332232091Forecast
STARLINK-1178
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-23
202045063U5339139092Forecast
STARLINK-22
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-23
201944236U5343643193Forecast
STARLINK-55
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-23
201944268U5340640593Forecast
STARLINK-1148
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-23
202045052U5340039893Forecast
STARLINK-1118
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-23
202044948U5329229090Forecast
2020-011C
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-23
202045177U5225619289Forecast
STARLINK-1155
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-24
202045053U5339038892Forecast
STARLINK-29
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-24
201944243U5342942093Forecast
STARLINK-1134
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-24
202045048U5339939793Forecast
STARLINK-1129
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-24
202045046U5339839693Forecast
STARLINK-1165
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-24
202045059U5339138992Forecast
STARLINK-1012
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-24
201944718U5336634892Forecast
STARLINK-1157
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-24
202045055U5338938792Forecast
STARLINK-1177
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-25
202045078U5332132091Forecast
STARLINK-1173
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-25
202045084U5332232091Forecast
STARLINK-1027
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-25
201944732U5357156996Forecast
STARLINK-58
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-25
201944270U5345345294Forecast
STARLINK-1109
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-26
202044945U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-52
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-26
201944259U5342742593Forecast
STARLINK-1096
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-26
202044942U5335634492Forecast
STARLINK-1013
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-26
201944719U5338238092Forecast
STARLINK-1021
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-26
201944726U5338037892Forecast
STARLINK-1016
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-27
201944722U5337537492Forecast
STARLINK-1028
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-27
201944733U5337937892Forecast
STARLINK-1179
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-27
202045085U5330129791Forecast
STARLINK-1073
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-28
202044914U5353753595Forecast
STARLINK-1031
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-28
201944736U5351951795Forecast
STARLINK-1124
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-28
202044953U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1081
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-29
202044962U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1151
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-29
202045081U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1123
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-02-29
202044930U5353453195Forecast
STARLINK-1014
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-1
201944720U5342341693Forecast
STARLINK-1113
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-1
202044926U5352852595Forecast
STARLINK-1070
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-1
202044956U5335234992Forecast
STARLINK-75
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-2
201944286U5343542793Forecast
STARLINK-1097
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-2
202044916U5353453195Forecast
STARLINK-1017
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-2
201944723U5337637492Forecast
STARLINK-1108
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-2
202044944U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-46
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-3
201944246U5330319289Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-4
202044977U5324524089Forecast
STARLINK-26
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-4
201944240U5343743593Forecast
STARLINK-1094
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-4
202044941U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1079
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-4
202044937U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-42
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-4
201944256U5340940793Forecast
STARLINK-1140
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-5
202045050U5339939793Forecast
STARLINK-1089
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-6
202044967U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1121
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-9
202044929U5353653495Forecast
BATSU-CS1 (IRAZU)
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-11
199843468U5227526690Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-11
202044976U5325124589Forecast
KZ-1A R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-12
201944837U9741917490Forecast
STARLINK-1091
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-13
202044940U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1076
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-13
202044959U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1093
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-13
202044970U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1159
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-15
202045057U5338938792Forecast
DELTA 2 R/B(1)
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-15
198920362U3626926190Forecast
STARLINK-67
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-15
201944278U5331228590Forecast
STARLINK-1072
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-16
202044935U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1080
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-16
202044961U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1095
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-17
202044971U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1083
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-18
202044939U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1169
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-19
202045061U5339038992Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-19
202044974U5325824990Forecast
STARLINK-1090
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-21
202044968U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1167
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-22
202045071U5332131791Forecast
STARLINK-1185
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-22
202045087U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1025
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-23
201944730U5337536992Forecast
CZ-2D R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-23
201641902U9830322990Forecast
STARLINK-1112
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-24
202044925U5353753595Forecast
ELECTRON R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-25
201944372U4531025090Forecast
STARLINK-1136
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-26
202045089U5332830991Forecast
STARLINK-1135
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-28
202045049U5339839793Forecast
STARLINK-1051
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-29
201944756U5338137392Forecast
STARLINK-1163
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-03-29
202045069U5332731391Forecast
STARLINK-1174
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-3
202045075U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1022
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-3
201944727U5355154996Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-4
202044975U5325724990Forecast
STARLINK-1048
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-5
201944753U5337837392Forecast
STARLINK-1183
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-7
202045088U5335134992Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-8
202045107U5327826090Forecast
STARLINK-1110
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-8
202044946U5335134992Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-11
202045104U5328426590Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-13
202045106U5327926390Forecast
RADIX
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-17
199843550U5231330691Forecast
FALCON 9 DEB
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-19
202045105U5328426490Forecast
CZ-4B R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-19
201944707U9836821690Forecast
STARLINK-1156
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-23
202045054U5339939893Forecast
DIWATA-1
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-25
199841463U5227226890Forecast
SL-4 R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-27
201742800U9833324390Forecast
STARLINK-1077
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-04-29
202044960U5335134892Forecast
STARLINK-1066
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-05-3
202044954U5335134992Forecast
ASTERIA
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-05-3
199843020U5231030691Forecast
STARLINK-1009
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-05-5
201944715U5338238092Forecast
NSIGHT
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-05-8
199842726U5230830291Forecast
TECHEDSAT 8
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-05-8
199844032U5233633191Forecast
STARLINK-1149
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-05-9
202045079U5331431391Forecast
SL-4 R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-4
201843658U6754922092Forecast
STARLINK-1088
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-5
202044966U5335434592Forecast
STARLINK-1035
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-5
201944740U5357156996Forecast
STARLINK-1040
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-6
201944745U5333733191Forecast
STARLINK-1147
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-7
202045095U5335134992Forecast
SL-12 R/B(AUX MOTOR)
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-8
201238105U474793139138Forecast
1KUNS-PF
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-24
199843466U5233132891Forecast
DEBRISSAT-2
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-26
199843680U5233833491Forecast
STARLINK-1145
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-27
202045066U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1045
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-06-30
201944750U5355154996Forecast
CZ-4C R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-4
201944210U9839826191Forecast
IRIDIUM 96 [-]
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-13
200227376U8642326391Forecast
STARLINK-1196
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-16
202045103U5335134992Forecast
CZ-3B R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-07-27
201944710U2831225123543Forecast
SL-4 R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-1
201944799U9834128091Forecast
STARLINK-1175
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-2
202045097U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1168
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-12
202045072U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1186
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-13
202045099U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1146
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-13
202045094U5335134892Forecast
CZ-3B R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-16
201339482U247922140176Forecast
STARLINK-1100
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-16
202044943U5335134992Forecast
STARLINK-1117
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-16
202044952U5335134892Forecast
STARLINK-1042
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-27
201944747U5355154896Forecast
STARLINK-1067
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-29
201944771U5355154996Forecast
ARIANE 44L+ R/B
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-08-31
199221941U42849174116Forecast
TANUSHA-3
Reentry: (YMD) 2020-09-4
199843597U5235334992Forecast




The Satellite Path


The path to be followed by satellite (dotted line) does not change due to the fact that the satellite is falling and can be used to assess the trajectory of the object before and after possible fall. In the graph, each point marks the range of 1 minute.

Solar Flux and Other Variables


As much as the institutes and space agencies strive to provide correct data of the point where the space debris will fall, several factors may interfere with the accuracy of the prediction. Among the most important, the solar flux is the most critical because it determines the conditions of the upper atmosphere, increasing or decreasing the drag on the object.

Besides the solar flux acting on the aerodynamic characteristics, another variable rather difficult to be computed is the resistance of materials used in the construction of the object and the shape of the structure. Combined, these factors may determine different altitudes for the moment of rupture, causing errors of more than 30 km in altitude reentry provided.

Other variables that affect the calculation of reentry, although less important, are the gravitational perturbations of the Sun and Moon and also those exercised by large mountain ranges, above or below sea level.

The modeling used by Satview to compute the time of reentry uses solar flux data obtained at the time of modeling, and prediction of the behavior of the sun for the next 5 days. With this, the margin of error of prediction is + / - 3 revolutions for satellites or debris in uncontrolled reentry.

Altitude of Reentry


Spacecraft reentering the atmosphere without control usually break between 72 and 84 km altitude due to temperature and aerodynamic forces acting on the structure.

The nominal breakup altitude is 78 km, but big satellites that have larger and denser structures survive longer and break down at lower altitudes. Usually, solar panels are destroyed before any component, at altitudes between 90 and 95 km.

Satview - All Rights Reserved 2008 - 2020
Privacy policy